AIRVS — The Recommendation Provenance Standard  ·  v1.0.0  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20391984

Our POV

A world where any AI-generated investment opinion can be checked in 5 seconds — by anyone, with provenance.

Year 5 self-definition

“AIRVS is the citation vocabulary for verified AI investment opinions — the way the Morningstar Rating became the vocabulary for verified mutual funds.”

The seasons

A decade, one season at a time

Year 1

The first year of Recommendation Provenance — 1 verified AI call to 1 URL.

Year 2

10 AI providers' annual report cards published.

Year 3

The comparison vocabulary of AI investment opinions.

Year 5

Adopted as de facto disclosure vocabulary under K-AI Act / EU AI Act.

Year 10

The AIRVS Citation Index becomes a recognized academic indicator.

Scenario matrix

Does the vision survive every future?

Two axes — regulatory intensity and market concentration — define four futures. The vision shines in Q1 and Q2; it is harder, but more valuable, in Q3 and Q4.

Q1

Fragmented market

Light regulation, many providers

AIRVS is the comparison standard buyers reach for first.

Q2

Compliance market

Heavy regulation, many providers

AIRVS is a ready-made compliance and auditing tool.

Q3

Feudal market

Light regulation, Big Tech oligopoly

AIRVS is an external check — harder to land, high value.

Q4

Cartel market

Heavy regulation, Big Tech oligopoly

AIRVS risks being absorbed into a government tool — weakest case.

Kill triggers

When we redesign — in the open

  • Fewer than 5 providers verified by month 12 triggers a market-not-formed review (Q0).
  • Fewer than 3 external citations in Year 1 means the vision is redesigned, publicly.
  • Worst-case scenarios D to G have a written response manual, not silence.
See the standard & evolution policy →