AIRVS — The Recommendation Provenance Standard  ·  v1.0.0  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20391984

Preview · sample data. These verifications are illustrative placeholders, not finalized AIRVS records. Live verifications begin once the methodology reaches v2.0.0 final.

Verification · 2026-04-24 · Provisional · D+90 pending

Acceptable

A record, not a recommendation.

XLP — Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR

GPT recommended staples as a low-volatility hedge into a data-heavy macro window.

Cite this verification

1 · Original recommendation

provider: OpenAI GPT
captured: 2026-04-24
asset: XLP — Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
hash: 0x20260424gptxlp
methodology: AIRVS v1.0.0 · license: CC BY 4.0

2 · Process score (6 axes, Pass/Fail)

Each axis is Pass or Fail, gated on evidence. The four dimensions are never summed into a single number — they combine into a verdict via a pre-published decision rule.

5 / 6 process axes passed

✓
1Data SourcePass

EVIDENCECited BLS CPI + staples margins (Tier 1).

✓
2Reasoning LogicPass

EVIDENCELow-volatility hedge logic stated.

✓
3Counter ScenarioPass

EVIDENCETwo downside cases provided.

✓
4TimingPass

EVIDENCEEntry window + horizon stated.

✓
5Accuracy / HallucinationPass

EVIDENCENo fabricated facts.

✕
6Causal ChainFail

EVIDENCEOne macro link weakly supported.

3 · Macro / micro coherence

Does the call account for the macro and instrument-level environment?

Sufficient

4 · Outcome — time-series

D+30

+2.6%

D+60

+2.8%

D+90

—

D+180

—

vs S&P 500: +1.8pp · max drawdown: -1.1%

Return versus benchmark, by time pointD+30: +2.6%; D+60: +2.8%; Excess: +1.8ppbenchmark = 0+2.6%D+30+2.8%D+60+1.8ppExcess
Return at each time point and excess vs benchmark. Dotted line = benchmark parity.

5 · Verdict

Acceptable

The verdict is produced by the evaluator's pre-published, version-locked decision rule from the four dimensions above — Provisional · D+90 pending. It is a per-recommendation record, not a reputation score for the provider.

Loss report & right of reply

Recommenders get a 7-day pre-publication notice and one round of rebuttal, published unedited. Lost money following this opinion? AIRVS commits to a 7-day SLA on every report.

Cite this verification

APA

MC AI Labs. (2026). AIRVS Verification: OpenAI GPT on XLP — Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
  (Verdict: Acceptable) [Verification record]. https://www.ai-rvs.com/verifications/2026-04-24-gpt-xlp

BibTeX

@misc{airvs_2026_04_24_gpt_xlp,
  title        = {AIRVS Verification: OpenAI GPT on XLP — Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR},
  author       = {{MC AI Labs}},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {AIRVS Recommendation Provenance Standard},
  doi          = {10.5281/zenodo.20391984},
  url          = {https://www.ai-rvs.com/verifications/2026-04-24-gpt-xlp},
  note         = {Verdict: Acceptable. A record, not a recommendation. CC BY 4.0}
}

Disclaimer

AIRVS is a record of past methodology and performance. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation, and not a solicitation. Past results do not predict future returns.