AIRVS — The Recommendation Provenance Standard  ·  v1.0.0  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20391984

Verification · 2017-10-17 · Confirmed

Unreliable

A record, not a recommendation.

AIEQ — Amplify AI Powered Equity ETF

L1 review of EquBot/IBM Watson's AIEQ — a real, publicly traded AI-managed equity ETF (not MC AI Labs'). By the AIRVS disclosure-and-evidence bar it scores Unreliable: only 1 of 6 process axes pass (the AI never publishes per-pick reasoning, sources, downside cases, or a defined horizon), and over 8.5 years it has trailed a simple S&P 500 index fund (SPY) while charging 0.75-0.80%. FAIRNESS NOTE: "Unreliable" here measures transparency/verifiability, NOT that AIEQ is a bad fund — a quantitative model legitimately keeps its picks' rationale proprietary, which structurally fails disclosure axes. The benchmark underperformance (-7.59pp/yr vs SPY, 5Y common window) is a separate, independently measured fact. Verdict derived mechanically via MC AI Labs decision-rule v1.0.0 (frozen); Annex A-F (AI-managed-fund variant, AIRVS v1.1) applied — most queryable-LLM items are structurally N/A and do not flip Axis 5 (holdings verified real). Published under AIRVS v1.2.0.

1 · Original recommendation

provider: EquBot / IBM Watson (Amplify AIEQ)
captured: 2017-10-17
asset: AIEQ — Amplify AI Powered Equity ETF
hash: 0x20171017aieqampl
methodology: AIRVS v1.0.0 · Template F (AI-managed fund) · license: CC BY 4.0

2 · Process score (6 axes, Pass/Fail)

Each axis is Pass or Fail, gated on evidence. The four dimensions are never summed into a single number — they combine into a verdict via a pre-published decision rule.

1 / 6 process axes passed

1Data SourceFail

EVIDENCEHoldings disclosed daily, but per-pick data sources are not cited; inputs described only in aggregate. No primary/tier classification.

2Reasoning LogicFail

EVIDENCEPer-pick rationale is a proprietary black box; no premise-to-conclusion argument is published to verify.

3Counter ScenarioFail

EVIDENCENo downside scenarios or weighted probabilities disclosed.

4TimingFail

EVIDENCEOpen-ended fund; no entry window or defined horizon — continuous rebalancing.

5Accuracy / HallucinationPass

EVIDENCEAll 162 holdings are real, publicly disclosed, verifiable securities (top-10 confirmed via stockanalysis.com 2026-04-13). No fabricated tickers or figures.

6Causal ChainFail

EVIDENCENo per-pick sources or stated conclusions are published; source-to-conclusion linkage is unverifiable.

Annex A-F (AI-managed-fund variant, v1.1): prompt-based checks (A.2 reproducibility, A.3 stability, A.4 RAG, A.5 cutoff, A.7–A.9) are N/A — structural (a fund publishes no prompt or per-pick rationale) and do not flip Axis ⑤. Assessed instead: holdings reality (A.6), holdings/methodology/cost transparency, and inter-rater (A.11, pending external pool).

3 · Macro / micro coherence

Does the call account for the macro and instrument-level environment?

Missing

4 · Outcome — continuous strategy

Continuously managed strategy — measured as realized track record vs benchmark (AIRVS v1.1 outcome_mode: continuous), not the D+30/60/90/180 windows used for single dated calls.

Annualized

9.09%

Excess vs SPY (S&P 500)

-7.59pp

Max drawdown

Correlation

horizon:

5 · Verdict

Unreliable

The verdict is produced by the evaluator's pre-published, version-locked decision rule from the four dimensions above — Confirmed. It is a per-recommendation record, not a reputation score for the provider.

Loss report & right of reply

Recommenders get a 7-day pre-publication notice and one round of rebuttal, published unedited. Lost money following this opinion? AIRVS commits to a 7-day SLA on every report.

Cite this verification

APA

MC AI Labs. (2017). AIRVS Verification: EquBot / IBM Watson (Amplify AIEQ) on AIEQ — Amplify AI Powered Equity ETF
  (Verdict: Unreliable) [Verification record]. https://www.ai-rvs.com/verifications/2017-10-17-aieq-amplify-ai-powered-equity-etf-issue1

BibTeX

@misc{airvs_2017_10_17_aieq_amplify_ai_powered_equity_etf_issue1,
  title        = {AIRVS Verification: EquBot / IBM Watson (Amplify AIEQ) on AIEQ — Amplify AI Powered Equity ETF},
  author       = {{MC AI Labs}},
  year         = {2017},
  howpublished = {AIRVS Recommendation Provenance Standard},
  doi          = {10.5281/zenodo.20391984},
  url          = {https://www.ai-rvs.com/verifications/2017-10-17-aieq-amplify-ai-powered-equity-etf-issue1},
  note         = {Verdict: Unreliable. A record, not a recommendation. CC BY 4.0}
}

Disclaimer

AIRVS is a record of past methodology and performance. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation, and not a solicitation. Past results do not predict future returns.